⚽ Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 27/06, 08:30
New Lambton FC (W) vs Maitland FC (W)
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New Lambton FC (W) 1579 · Maitland FC (W) 1638
| New Lambton FC (W) | Draw | Maitland FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 21% | 40% |
| Market | 15% | 16% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.3New Lambton FC (W) 2.14 · Maitland FC (W) 2.16
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 53%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland FC (W) (rating 1579 vs 1638).
- High estimate: 4.3 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Maitland FC (W): 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 4.5 combined avg at HT (2 + 2.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New Lambton FC (W) | Maitland FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.9 | 4.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.8 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 90/0/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · New Lambton FC (W) 1–0–5 Maitland FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 8-0 HT 2-0 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 01/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 7-1 HT 3-0 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 28/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 26/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Maitland FC (W) |
| 23/02/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 17/08/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 3-6 HT 1-2 | New Lambton FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
New Lambton FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-8 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Maitland FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 8-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/03 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
5-1 | 9-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |