Football · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · 27/06, 21:00
Democrata SL vs Coimbra
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Democrata SL 1526 · Coimbra 1520
| Democrata SL | Draw | Coimbra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.07Democrata SL 1.2 · Coimbra 0.88
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Democrata SL | Coimbra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Democrata SL 1–2–0 Coimbra
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 | Coimbra | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Democrata SL |
| 28/05/22 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 | Coimbra | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Democrata SL |
| 16/02/19 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 | Democrata SL | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coimbra |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Democrata SL
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 13/06 | Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | North Esporte Clube Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | North Esporte Clube Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Coimbra
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 20/06 | SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 13/06 | Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/11 | Essube MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 15/11 | Novo Esporte Itabirinha Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/11 | Paracatu FC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/11 | Tupi MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 3 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 26/10 | Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |