⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 27/06, 04:15
Devonport Strikers (W) vs Launceston City (W)
86%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Devonport Strikers (W) 1645 · Launceston City (W) 1480
| Devonport Strikers (W) | Draw | Launceston City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 94% | 3% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.72 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.72Devonport Strikers (W) 3.36 · Launceston City (W) 1.36
Over / Under 5Under 5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devonport Strikers (W) (rating 1645 vs 1480).
- High estimate: 4.72 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 3 combined avg at HT (2.1 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Devonport Strikers (W) | Launceston City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 7.6 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Devonport Strikers (W) 1–0–0 Launceston City (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston City (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Devonport Strikers (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Devonport Strikers (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
5-0 | 12-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Launceston City (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |