Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 27/06, 08:45
Riverside Olympic (W) vs Launceston United (W)
85%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riverside Olympic (W) 1383 · Launceston United (W) 1455
| Riverside Olympic (W) | Draw | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 2% | 5% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.71 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.71Riverside Olympic (W) 1.36 · Launceston United (W) 3.36
Over / Under 5Under 5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Launceston United (W) (rating 1383 vs 1455).
- High estimate: 4.71 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Launceston United (W): 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (0.3 + 1.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Riverside Olympic (W) | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 6 | 3.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 3 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 3.2 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riverside Olympic (W) 1–0–5 Launceston United (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Riverside Olympic (W) | 0-14 HT 0-8 | Launceston United (W) |
| 02/08/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Riverside Olympic (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Launceston United (W) |
| 31/05/25 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
| 24/08/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Riverside Olympic (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Launceston United (W) |
| 31/07/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Riverside Olympic (W) |
| 20/04/24 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Riverside Olympic (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Launceston United (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riverside Olympic (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-8 | 0-14 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-5 | 0-12 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
Launceston United (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
8-0 | 14-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | L |