⚽ Fútbol · South Korea K3 League · 28/6, 07:00
Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon Citizen FC
41%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Gyeongju HNP 1485 · Pocheon Citizen FC 1589
| Gyeongju HNP | Empate | Pocheon Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Mercado | 33% | 28% | 40% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.67 goles · línea Bet365 2 · +0.7
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. El 💎 marca dónde nuestro modelo ve la cuota infravalorada (posible valor).
🧠 Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados2.67Gyeongju HNP 1.17 · Pocheon Citizen FC 1.5
Total más probable2 goles
💎 ValorMás de 2 goles · +6.9%El modelo le da a esta apuesta un 6.9% más de probabilidad de la que paga su cuota (1.82): la casa la tiene infravalorada.
🔑 Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Pocheon Citizen FC (rating 1485 vs 1589).
- Historial directo a favor de Pocheon Citizen FC: 3-1-2.
- Se marca pronto: 1.4 goles de media combinada al descanso (0.8 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Partido de tarjetas: 6.5 🟨 de media combinada.
📊 Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Gyeongju HNP | Pocheon Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 40/30/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 5.9 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Gyeongju HNP 2–1–3 Pocheon Citizen FC
| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 South Korea K3/K4 Championship | Gyeongju HNP | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 22/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 14/09/25 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 17/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 14/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 31/03/24 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Gyeongju HNP |
📅 Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De estos partidos salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En gris, los partidos que iban 0-0 al descanso.
Gyeongju HNP
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/6 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | E |
| 13/6 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 6/6 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | E |
| 30/5 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | E |
| 27/5 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | V |
| 23/5 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | E |
| 17/5 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 10/5 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | E |
| 1/5 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/4 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | E |
Pocheon Citizen FC
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/6 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 13/6 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | V |
| 6/6 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | E |
| 30/5 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 27/5 | Changwon City South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | E |
| 23/5 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | V |
| 16/5 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | E |
| 9/5 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 6/5 | Gangneung City South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | V |
| 2/5 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | V |