⚽ Football · South Korea K3 League · 28/06, 10:00
Dangjin Citizen FC vs Gangneung City
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dangjin Citizen FC 1474 · Gangneung City 1498
| Dangjin Citizen FC | Draw | Gangneung City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.3Dangjin Citizen FC 1.25 · Gangneung City 1.05
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Gangneung City: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dangjin Citizen FC | Gangneung City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 1.9 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Dangjin Citizen FC 1–1–2 Gangneung City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Gangneung City | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
| 09/03/25 South Korea Cup | Dangjin Citizen FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Gangneung City |
| 03/07/22 South Korea K3 League | Dangjin Citizen FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Gangneung City |
| 20/03/22 South Korea K3 League | Gangneung City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dangjin Citizen FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Dangjin Citizen FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Gangneung City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |