⚽ Football · South Korea K3 League · 27/06, 12:00
Ulsan Citizen FC vs Mokpo City
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ulsan Citizen FC 1483 · Mokpo City 1457
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Draw | Mokpo City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.1Ulsan Citizen FC 1.32 · Mokpo City 0.78
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 59%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Ulsan Citizen FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Mokpo City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/90/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulsan Citizen FC 3–1–2 Mokpo City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ulsan Citizen FC |
| 21/09/25 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Ulsan Citizen FC |
| 23/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Ulsan Citizen FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mokpo City |
| 14/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Ulsan Citizen FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Mokpo City |
| 30/03/24 South Korea K3 League | Mokpo City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ulsan Citizen FC |
| 02/09/23 South Korea K3 League | Ulsan Citizen FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Mokpo City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ulsan Citizen FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Mokpo City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |