⚽ Football · South Korea K3 League · 28/06, 12:00
Busan Trans Corp vs Daejeon Korail
36%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Busan Trans Corp 1565 · Daejeon Korail 1596
| Busan Trans Corp | Draw | Daejeon Korail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.27Busan Trans Corp 1.22 · Daejeon Korail 1.06
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 56%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Daejeon Korail: 2-4-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Busan Trans Corp | Daejeon Korail | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan Trans Corp 0–4–2 Daejeon Korail
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Korail |
| 20/09/25 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Korail |
| 23/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Daejeon Korail | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Busan Trans Corp |
| 24/08/24 South Korea K3 League | Daejeon Korail | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Busan Trans Corp |
| 27/04/24 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Korail |
| 01/07/23 South Korea K3 League | Busan Trans Corp | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Korail |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Busan Trans Corp
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Gijang United South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Daejeon Korail
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |