⚽ Football · South Korea K3 League · 27/06, 09:00
Siheung City AC vs Jeonbuk Motors II
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siheung City AC 1573 · Jeonbuk Motors II 1407
| Siheung City AC | Draw | Jeonbuk Motors II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.75Siheung City AC 2.11 · Jeonbuk Motors II 0.64
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 56%
BTTSNo · 58%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siheung City AC (rating 1573 vs 1407).
- H2H favours Siheung City AC: 3-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Siheung City AC | Jeonbuk Motors II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Siheung City AC 3–0–0 Jeonbuk Motors II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Jeonbuk Motors II | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Siheung City AC |
| 20/09/25 South Korea K3 League | Siheung City AC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors II |
| 25/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Jeonbuk Motors II | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Siheung City AC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Siheung City AC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea League Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Jeonbuk Motors II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Yeoju South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |