⚽ Football · South Korea K3 League · 27/06, 12:00
Chuncheon FC vs Yangpyeong FC
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chuncheon FC 1451 · Yangpyeong FC 1441
| Chuncheon FC | Draw | Yangpyeong FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.69Chuncheon FC 1.56 · Yangpyeong FC 1.13
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 60%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Yangpyeong FC: 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chuncheon FC | Yangpyeong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5.2 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Chuncheon FC 1–0–5 Yangpyeong FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 5-4 HT 4-2 | Chuncheon FC |
| 19/07/25 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Chuncheon FC |
| 30/03/25 South Korea K3 League | Chuncheon FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Yangpyeong FC |
| 12/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Chuncheon FC | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Yangpyeong FC |
| 31/03/24 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chuncheon FC |
| 26/08/23 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chuncheon FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Chuncheon FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Mokpo City South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
Yangpyeong FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |