⚽ Football · China Super League · 28/06, 12:00
Qingdao West Coast vs Zhejiang
47%1
Pick: 1 · 47%
Over 2.5 · 73%
Both to score Yes
Score: 2-1
💎 +6.5%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.8 (Qingdao West Coast 2.1 · Zhejiang 1.7). The model gives 47% home, 21% draw, 32% away. Recommendation: Qingdao West Coast (47%, media confidence). Over 2.5 goals (73%) and both teams to score (72%). Most likely score: 2-1. 💎 Value spotted on Qingdao West Coast: +6.5% over the odds (2.25).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Qingdao West Coast: the model gives +6.5% over odds 2.25.
- Estimate (3.8) is far from Bet365's line (3): possible value on Over 3.
- High estimate: 3.8 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Zhejiang: 3-0-2.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Qingdao West Coast | Zhejiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao West Coast 2–0–3 Zhejiang
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | Zhejiang | 2-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 13/09/25 | Qingdao West Coast | 0-2 | Zhejiang |
| 27/04/25 | Zhejiang | 2-1 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 13/07/24 | Qingdao West Coast | 5-2 | Zhejiang |
| 06/04/24 | Zhejiang | 1-2 | Qingdao West Coast |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Qingdao West Coast
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1-1 | 6-5 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Yunnan Yukun | 1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Beijing Guoan | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Dalian Young Boy | 1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Shandong Taishan | 1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Henan | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Zhejiang
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Shaanxi Union | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Henan | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Liaoning Ironman | 0-2 | 0-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Shandong Taishan | 0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Shanghai Port | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Yunnan Yukun | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |