Football · China Super League · 04/07, 13:35
Dalian Young Boy vs Wuhan Three Towns
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalian Young Boy 1449 · Wuhan Three Towns 1493
| Dalian Young Boy | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.97Dalian Young Boy 1.86 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.12
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wuhan Three Towns (rating 1449 vs 1493).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Young Boy | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.3 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy 0–2–1 Wuhan Three Towns
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Dalian Young Boy |
| 19/10/25 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 11/05/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Dalian Young Boy |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Young Boy
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
1-0 | 6-5 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
Wuhan Three Towns
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 4-3 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |