Football · USA USL W-League Women · 28/06, 21:00
Edgewater Castle (W) vs Sioux Falls City FC (W)
39%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edgewater Castle (W) 1497 · Sioux Falls City FC (W) 1516
| Edgewater Castle (W) | Draw | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.87Edgewater Castle (W) 1.39 · Sioux Falls City FC (W) 1.48
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Edgewater Castle (W) | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/25/25% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Edgewater Castle (W) 0–1–0 Sioux Falls City FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 USA USL W-League Women | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | 1-1 | Edgewater Castle (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edgewater Castle (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Sioux Falls City FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | Rally Madison FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Rockford Raptors (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Sioux Falls City FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Edgewater Castle (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/06 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Rally Madison FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Rockford Raptors (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |