⚽ Football · China Super League · 27/06, 14:00
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
47%1
Pick: 1 · 47%
Over 2.5 · 75%
Both to score Yes
Score: 2-1
💎 +17.7%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.9 (Beijing Guoan 2.15 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.75). The model gives 47% home, 21% draw, 32% away. Recommendation: Beijing Guoan (47%, media confidence). Over 2.5 goals (75%) and both teams to score (73%). Most likely score: 2-1. 💎 Value spotted on Wuhan Three Towns: +17.7% over the odds (6.5).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Wuhan Three Towns: the model gives +17.7% over odds 6.5.
- High estimate: 3.9 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Beijing Guoan: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Guoan | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 7.8 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Guoan 3–2–1 Wuhan Three Towns
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-2 | Beijing Guoan |
| 25/08/25 | Beijing Guoan | 4-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 15/04/25 | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-4 | Beijing Guoan |
| 07/07/24 | Beijing Guoan | 1-2 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 30/03/24 | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 16/07/23 | Beijing Guoan | 1-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Beijing Guoan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Henan | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Qingdao West Coast | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Hainiu | 3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Dalian Young Boy | 0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Yunnan Yukun | 1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-2 | 2-4 | 17 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Wuhan Three Towns
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions | 0-0 | 4-3 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Shanghai Port | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/04 | Zhejiang | 1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |