Football · China Super League · 05/07, 13:35

Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang

Expected goals: 3.26 (Shanghai Shenhua 1.97 · Zhejiang 1.3). The model gives 52% home, 23% draw, 24% away. Over 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

52%1

52% 23% 24%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Shenhua 1506 · Zhejiang 1498

	Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Zhejiang
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	53%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.26Shanghai Shenhua 1.97 · Zhejiang 1.3

Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%

BTTSYes · 57%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shanghai Shenhua: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shanghai Shenhua	Zhejiang
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	1.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.75 → 1.75 – 0%

X 4.00 → 4.00 – 0%

2 3.75 → 3.75 – 0%

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

← Predictions Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Shenhua 3–2–1 Zhejiang

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 China Super League	Zhejiang	1-1 HT 0-1	Shanghai Shenhua
16/08/25 China Super League	Zhejiang	0-0 HT 0-0	Shanghai Shenhua
12/04/25 China Super League	Shanghai Shenhua	3-2 HT 1-0	Zhejiang
13/09/24 China Super League	Zhejiang	3-4 HT 2-2	Shanghai Shenhua
05/05/24 China Super League	Shanghai Shenhua	4-0 HT 2-0	Zhejiang
04/11/23 China Super League	Shanghai Shenhua	1-2 HT 0-0	Zhejiang

Standings · China Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	16	13	1	2	36	15	40
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	16	7	6	3	20	16	27
3	Dalian Young Boy	16	7	1	8	22	29	22
4	Shandong Taishan	16	8	3	5	30	26	21
5	Yunnan Yukun	16	6	3	7	29	28	21
6	Qingdao West Coast	16	4	9	3	20	24	21
7	Beijing Guoan	16	6	5	5	27	23	18
8	Zhejiang	16	6	4	6	21	26	17
9	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	16	5	2	9	22	28	17
10	Liaoning Ironman	16	5	2	9	21	28	17
11	Shanghai Shenhua	16	7	5	4	33	25	16
12	Shanghai Port	16	5	5	6	25	22	15
13	Henan	16	6	3	7	17	20	15
14	Qingdao Hainiu	16	6	2	8	26	27	13
15	Wuhan Three Towns	16	2	7	7	22	31	8
16	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	16	3	6	7	19	22	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shanghai Shenhua	Zhejiang
Qingdao West Coast	2-2 D	1-3 L
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	1-2 L	2-1 W
Yunnan Yukun	0-1 L	2-1 W
Shandong Taishan	1-4 L	4-1 W
Chengdu Rongcheng	2-3 L	0-4 L
Henan	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shanghai Shenhua

WLLDLDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	2-1	4-1	2	2	W
20/06	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China FA Cup	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/05	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/05	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
20/05	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
16/05	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
09/05	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	0-2	2-2	11	6	D
05/05	Shandong Taishan China Super League	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
01/05	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	2-1	2-3	10	7	L
26/04	Henan China Super League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W

Zhejiang

LWWDDWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
19/06	Shaanxi Union China FA Cup	0-1	5-6	9	3	L
30/05	Henan China Super League	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
24/05	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	0-2	0-5	9	3	L
20/05	Shandong Taishan China Super League	0-1	4-1	5	1	W
15/05	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-1	2-2	2	7	D
10/05	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/05	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
02/05	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
25/04	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-3	0-4	3	6	L