⚽ Football · USA USL W-League Women · 25/06, 04:30
Salmon Bay FC (W) vs Tacoma Galaxy (W)
77%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salmon Bay FC (W) 1588 · Tacoma Galaxy (W) 1428
| Salmon Bay FC (W) | Draw | Tacoma Galaxy (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 84% | 12% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.67Salmon Bay FC (W) 2.55 · Tacoma Galaxy (W) 1.12
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 62%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salmon Bay FC (W) (rating 1588 vs 1428).
- High estimate: 3.67 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Salmon Bay FC (W): 2-1-0.
- Early goals: 2.8 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salmon Bay FC (W) | Tacoma Galaxy (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Salmon Bay FC (W) 2–1–0 Tacoma Galaxy (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 USA USL W-League Women | Tacoma Galaxy (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Salmon Bay FC (W) |
| 25/06/25 USA USL W-League Women | Tacoma Galaxy (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Salmon Bay FC (W) |
| 31/05/25 USA USL W-League Women | Salmon Bay FC (W) | 1-0 | Tacoma Galaxy (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Salmon Bay FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Snohomish United (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | West Seattle Rhodies FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | Portland Cherry Bombs (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | FC Olympia (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Portland Cherry Bombs (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | Tacoma Galaxy (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Bigfoot FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | West Seattle Rhodies FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Bigfoot FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 9-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Olympia (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Tacoma Galaxy (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Bigfoot FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Snohomish United (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | FC Olympia (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Bigfoot FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 04/06 | Salmon Bay FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/06 | Portland Cherry Bombs (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Portland Cherry Bombs (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FC Olympia (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Snohomish United (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | West Seattle Rhodies FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |