⚽ Football · USA USL W-League Women · 27/06, 02:00
River Light SC (W) vs Sioux Falls City FC (W)
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · River Light SC (W) 1507 · Sioux Falls City FC (W) 1544
| River Light SC (W) | Draw | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.57River Light SC (W) 1.85 · Sioux Falls City FC (W) 1.73
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.57 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Sioux Falls City FC (W): 2-0-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Light SC (W) | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 2.5 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · River Light SC (W) 1–0–2 Sioux Falls City FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA USL W-League Women | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | 5-1 | River Light SC (W) |
| 30/06/25 USA USL W-League Women | Sioux Falls City FC (W) | 7-1 | River Light SC (W) |
| 22/05/25 USA USL W-League Women | River Light SC (W) | 3-0 | Sioux Falls City FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
River Light SC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Edgewater Castle (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Sioux Falls City FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Rockford Raptors (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | Rally Madison FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Rockford Raptors (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | Edgewater Castle (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Sioux Falls City FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Edgewater Castle (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | RKC Third Coast (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/06 | Minnesota Aurora FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Rally Madison FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Rochester FC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Rockford Raptors (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | River Light SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |