Football · USA USL W-League Women · 27/06, 20:00
New Jersey Copa (W) vs Morris Elite SC (W)
77%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New Jersey Copa (W) 1436 · Morris Elite SC (W) 1583
| New Jersey Copa (W) | Draw | Morris Elite SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 10% | 13% | 77% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.11 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.11New Jersey Copa (W) 1.06 · Morris Elite SC (W) 3.05
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- New Jersey Copa (W) usually leads at HT (100%) while Morris Elite SC (W) trails (50%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Morris Elite SC (W) (rating 1436 vs 1583).
- High estimate: 4.11 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Morris Elite SC (W): 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 3.5 combined avg at HT (2 + 1.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New Jersey Copa (W) | Morris Elite SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 3.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 7.5 / 8.5 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New Jersey Copa (W) 0–0–2 Morris Elite SC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 USA USL W-League Women | Morris Elite SC (W) | 3-0 | New Jersey Copa (W) |
| 18/05/25 USA USL W-League Women | New Jersey Copa (W) | 2-3 | Morris Elite SC (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New Jersey Copa (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Manhattan SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Paisley Athletic (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Long Island Rough Riders (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Cedar Stars (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Paisley Athletic (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Manhattan SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Long Island Rough Riders (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Cedar Stars (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Morris Elite SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Manhattan SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Morris Elite SC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Manhattan SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Paisley Athletic (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Cedar Stars (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Long Island Rough Riders (W) USA USL W-League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/06 | Paisley Athletic (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Cedar Stars (W) USA USL W-League Women |
2-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/05 | Manhattan SC (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Long Island Rough Riders (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | New Jersey Copa (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Cedar Stars (W) USA USL W-League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |