⚽ Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 27/06, 09:30
Campbelltown City (W) vs West Adelaide (W)
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Campbelltown City (W) 1537 · West Adelaide (W) 1629
| Campbelltown City (W) | Draw | West Adelaide (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 23% | 43% |
| Market | 9% | 11% | 80% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.66Campbelltown City (W) 1.71 · West Adelaide (W) 1.95
BTTSYes · 71%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueUnder 4 goals · +6.1%The model gives this bet 6.1% more probability than its odds (1.95) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Adelaide (W) (rating 1537 vs 1629).
- High estimate: 3.66 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours West Adelaide (W): 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.8 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 1.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Campbelltown City (W) | West Adelaide (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 3.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 80/0/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Campbelltown City (W) 1–0–5 West Adelaide (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | West Adelaide (W) | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Campbelltown City (W) |
| 30/08/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | West Adelaide (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Campbelltown City (W) |
| 08/08/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | West Adelaide (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Campbelltown City (W) |
| 23/05/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Campbelltown City (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | West Adelaide (W) |
| 28/07/17 Australia SA Premier League Women | West Adelaide (W) | 7-0 HT 5-0 | Campbelltown City (W) |
| 17/03/17 Australia SA Premier League Women | West Adelaide (W) | 10-0 HT 4-0 | Campbelltown City (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Campbelltown City (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
West Adelaide (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
4-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/04 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |