⚽ Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 27/06, 07:45
Salisbury Inter (W) vs Adelaide University (W)
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salisbury Inter (W) 1565 · Adelaide University (W) 1472
| Salisbury Inter (W) | Draw | Adelaide University (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.29Salisbury Inter (W) 2.64 · Adelaide University (W) 1.65
BTTSYes · 76%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salisbury Inter (W) (rating 1565 vs 1472).
- High estimate: 4.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Salisbury Inter (W): 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 2.5 combined avg at HT (1.6 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salisbury Inter (W) | Adelaide University (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Salisbury Inter (W) 4–1–1 Adelaide University (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide University (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Salisbury Inter (W) |
| 05/07/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Salisbury Inter (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Adelaide University (W) |
| 11/04/25 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide University (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Salisbury Inter (W) |
| 05/07/24 Australia SA Premier League Women | Salisbury Inter (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide University (W) |
| 13/04/24 Australia SA Premier League Women | Adelaide University (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Salisbury Inter (W) |
| 23/06/23 Australia SA Premier League Women | Salisbury Inter (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Adelaide University (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Salisbury Inter (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
4-1 | 7-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 10/04 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/03 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Adelaide University (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |