⚽ Football · Japan L1 League Women · 27/06, 09:00
Nittaidai FC (W) vs Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nittaidai FC (W) 1421 · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1536
| Nittaidai FC (W) | Draw | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 15% | 21% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.76Nittaidai FC (W) 1.18 · Orca Kamogawa FC (W) 1.58
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orca Kamogawa FC (W) (rating 1421 vs 1536).
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nittaidai FC (W) | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.9 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.1 / 0 | 0.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Nittaidai FC (W) 2–2–2 Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Japan L1 League Women | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Nittaidai FC (W) |
| 12/10/25 Japan L1 League Women | Nittaidai FC (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) |
| 16/03/25 Japan L1 League Women | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nittaidai FC (W) |
| 22/06/24 Japan L1 League Women | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nittaidai FC (W) |
| 13/04/24 Japan L1 League Women | Nittaidai FC (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) |
| 17/06/23 Japan L1 League Women | Nittaidai FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Nittaidai FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-3 | 0-8 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/04 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |