Football · Japan L1 League Women · 27/06, 09:00
Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1489 · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1469
| Setagaya Sfida (W) | Draw | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.97Setagaya Sfida (W) 1.66 · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1.3
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Setagaya Sfida (W) | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.3 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1–4–1 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Japan L1 League Women | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Setagaya Sfida (W) |
| 14/09/25 Japan L1 League Women | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Setagaya Sfida (W) |
| 10/05/25 Japan L1 League Women | Setagaya Sfida (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) |
| 08/09/24 Japan L1 League Women | Setagaya Sfida (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) |
| 04/05/24 Japan L1 League Women | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Setagaya Sfida (W) |
| 10/12/23 Japan Cup Women | Setagaya Sfida (W) | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Setagaya Sfida (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |