Football · Japan L1 League Women · 28/06, 08:00
Ehime FC (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
39%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ehime FC (W) 1470 · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1514
| Ehime FC (W) | Draw | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.39Ehime FC (W) 1.12 · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1.27
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) (rating 1470 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Okayama Yunogo Belle (W): 3-3-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ehime FC (W) | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ehime FC (W) 0–3–3 Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Japan L1 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC (W) |
| 31/08/25 Japan L1 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC (W) |
| 27/04/25 Japan L1 League Women | Ehime FC (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
| 08/12/24 Japan Cup Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Ehime FC (W) |
| 28/10/18 Japan L2 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ehime FC (W) |
| 22/04/18 Japan League Cup Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ehime FC (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ehime FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 26/04 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |