⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Championship · 26/06, 12:15

Olympia FC Warriors vs University of Tasmania

66%1
66% 16% 18%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olympia FC Warriors 1538 · University of Tasmania 1435
Olympia FC WarriorsDrawUniversity of Tasmania
Our model59%19%22%
Market71%14%15%
Estimated total (ours) 4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.5Olympia FC Warriors 2.78 · University of Tasmania 1.72
BTTSYes · 78%
Most likely total4 goals

🔑 Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympia FC Warriors (rating 1538 vs 1435).
  • High estimate: 4.5 goals → consider Over 2.5.
  • H2H favours Olympia FC Warriors: 5-1-0.
  • Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (1.2 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
  • Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Olympia FC WarriorsUniversity of Tasmania
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 21.7 / 4.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 10.6 / 2.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 3.81.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.22.7 / 0

⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympia FC Warriors 510 University of Tasmania

DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia Tasmania Championship
University of Tasmania3-5
HT 0-4
Olympia FC Warriors
20/06/25
Australia Tasmania Championship
Olympia FC Warriors3-2
HT 1-1
University of Tasmania
22/03/25
Australia Tasmania Championship
University of Tasmania2-2Olympia FC Warriors
28/06/24
Australia Tasmania Championship
Olympia FC Warriors2-1
HT 1-1
University of Tasmania
12/08/23
Australia Tasmania Championship
Olympia FC Warriors2-1
HT 2-1
University of Tasmania
06/05/23
Australia Tasmania Championship
University of Tasmania3-5
HT 3-4
Olympia FC Warriors

📅 Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.

Olympia FC Warriors

LLWLWWWWLW
Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/06 South Hobart FC 2
Australia Tasmania Championship
1-1 2-1 36 W
30/05 Hobart City FC
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-1 1-3 L
23/05 Clarence Zebras Reserves
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-0 2-0 75 W
09/05 Hobart United
Australia Tasmania Championship
2-0 6-0 W
01/05 Taroona
Australia Tasmania Championship
1-0 3-2 42 W
17/04 Glenorchy Knights Reserves
Australia Tasmania Championship
3-1 4-1 53 W
10/04 New Town Eagles
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-1 1-2 L
28/03 University of Tasmania
Australia Tasmania Championship
4-0 5-3 W
22/03 South Hobart FC 2
Australia Tasmania Championship
1-3 1-5 14 L
22/08 Taroona
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-3 2-3 36 L

University of Tasmania

LLLLLLLDWW
Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Clarence Zebras Reserves
Australia Tasmania Championship
2-0 4-1 34 W
13/06 Hobart United
Australia Tasmania Championship
1-1 3-2 W
30/05 New Town Eagles
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-0 1-1 D
23/05 Taroona
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-6 0-10 42 L
09/05 Glenorchy Knights Reserves
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-1 1-2 43 L
02/05 South Hobart FC 2
Australia Tasmania Championship
1-3 3-6 L
28/03 Olympia FC Warriors
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-4 3-5 L
14/03 Hobart United
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-1 0-5 34 L
06/09 Taroona
Australia Tasmania Championship
0-5 0-6 62 L
30/08 Taroona
Australia Tasmania Championship
2-5 2-9 41 L