⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Championship · 27/06, 08:45
Clarence Zebras Reserves vs Hobart United
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clarence Zebras Reserves 1462 · Hobart United 1410
| Clarence Zebras Reserves | Draw | Hobart United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | 63% | 18% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.5Clarence Zebras Reserves 2.61 · Hobart United 1.89
BTTSYes · 79%
Most likely total4 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clarence Zebras Reserves (rating 1462 vs 1410).
- High estimate: 4.5 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Hobart United: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Clarence Zebras Reserves | Hobart United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.8 | 1.6 / 5.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 2.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Clarence Zebras Reserves 1–1–4 Hobart United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Championship | Hobart United | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 29/08/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Hobart United |
| 27/06/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Hobart United |
| 05/04/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Hobart United | 4-0 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 24/05/24 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 4-5 HT 2-3 | Hobart United |
| 23/04/22 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hobart United |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Clarence Zebras Reserves
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-3 | 5-4 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Hobart United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
2-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-6 | 0-13 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-4 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/03 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 0-10 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |