⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 27/06, 06:30
Clarence Zebras FC vs Launceston United
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clarence Zebras FC 1500 · Launceston United 1403
| Clarence Zebras FC | Draw | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| Market | 74% | 15% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.04 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.04Clarence Zebras FC 2.53 · Launceston United 1.51
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 72%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clarence Zebras FC (rating 1500 vs 1403).
- High estimate: 4.04 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Clarence Zebras FC | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.9 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Clarence Zebras FC 3–0–3 Launceston United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 09/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Launceston United |
| 14/06/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 2-5 HT 1-4 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 05/04/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Launceston United |
| 17/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 22/06/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Clarence Zebras FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Clarence Zebras FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 28/03 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Launceston United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |