⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 28/06, 06:30
Launceston City vs South East United FC
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Launceston City 1529 · South East United FC 1443
| Launceston City | Draw | South East United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.28Launceston City 2.61 · South East United FC 1.67
BTTSYes · 76%
Most likely total4 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Launceston City (rating 1529 vs 1443).
- High estimate: 4.28 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City | South East United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 2 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.6 | 3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City 1–0–1 South East United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South East United FC | 1-6 HT 1-1 | Launceston City |
| 18/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | South East United FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Launceston City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Launceston City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-8 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
6-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
South East United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-7 | 0-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-2 | 6-4 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |