⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 28/06, 06:30
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kingborough Lions 1595 · Devonport City 1580
| Kingborough Lions | Draw | Devonport City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 22% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.63Kingborough Lions 2.05 · Devonport City 1.58
BTTSYes · 70%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.63 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Kingborough Lions: 4-0-2.
- Early goals: 2.8 combined avg at HT (1.8 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kingborough Lions | Devonport City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Kingborough Lions 4–0–2 Devonport City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kingborough Lions |
| 02/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Devonport City |
| 31/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Kingborough Lions |
| 22/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Kingborough Lions | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Devonport City |
| 31/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Kingborough Lions |
| 06/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Devonport City | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Kingborough Lions |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Kingborough Lions
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
7-0 | 9-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
4-1 | 7-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
Devonport City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |