⚽ Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 27/06, 06:00
South Hobart vs Glenorchy Knights FC
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South Hobart 1624 · Glenorchy Knights FC 1445
| South Hobart | Draw | Glenorchy Knights FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 16% | 12% |
| Market | 71% | 16% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.47South Hobart 2.52 · Glenorchy Knights FC 0.96
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Likely score2-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (rating 1624 vs 1445).
- High estimate: 3.47 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours South Hobart: 6-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 16 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Hobart | Glenorchy Knights FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.9 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.7 / 10.2 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · South Hobart 6–0–0 Glenorchy Knights FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | South Hobart |
| 01/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | South Hobart |
| 01/06/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
| 21/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-4 HT 2-2 | South Hobart |
| 16/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Glenorchy Knights FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | South Hobart |
| 23/06/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | South Hobart | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Glenorchy Knights FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
South Hobart
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 8-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Glenorchy Knights FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 16 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 27/03 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |