⚽ Football · Canada Premier League · 29/06, 01:00
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavalry FC 1582 · Supra du Quebec 1496
| Cavalry FC | Draw | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickCavalry FC · 63%
Expected goals2.87Cavalry FC 1.9 · Supra du Quebec 0.96
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 56%
BTTSYes · 53%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1582 vs 1496).
- Early goals: 1.3 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.5 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 1–0–0 Supra du Quebec
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Cavalry FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Supra du Quebec
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Woodbridge Strikers Canada Championships |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |