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Football · Canada Premier League · 04/07, 21:00

Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry FC

Expected goals: 2.65 (Atletico Ottawa 1.08 · Cavalry FC 1.57). The model gives 25% home, 27% draw, 47% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

47%2
25% 27% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Ottawa 1549 · Cavalry FC 1576
Atletico OttawaDrawCavalry FC
Our model25%28%47%
Market25%27%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.65Atletico Ottawa 1.08 · Cavalry FC 1.57
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico Ottawa: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico OttawaCavalry FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.72 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.32.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.14.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Ottawa 3–2–1 Cavalry FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Canada Premier League
Cavalry FC3-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Ottawa
09/11/25
Canada Premier League
Atletico Ottawa1-1
HT 1-1
Cavalry FC
27/09/25
Canada Premier League
Atletico Ottawa3-0
HT 1-0
Cavalry FC
24/08/25
Canada Premier League
Atletico Ottawa2-2
HT 0-2
Cavalry FC
29/06/25
Canada Premier League
Cavalry FC0-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Ottawa
26/04/25
Canada Premier League
Cavalry FC1-3
HT 0-0
Atletico Ottawa

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Forge FC 10811 15425
2 Cavalry FC 10721 19523
3 Atletico Ottawa 10424 151814
4 HFX Wanderers 11335 141612
5 Inter Toronto 9333 131712
6 Supra du Quebec 9324 131411
7 Vancouver FC 10325 91111
8 Pacific FC (CA) 11038 12253

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico OttawaCavalry FC
Supra du Quebec 5-3 W 1-0 W
Vancouver FC 1-2 L 2-0 W
Pacific FC (CA) 2-2 D 3-0 W
Forge FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
HFX Wanderers 1-0 W 2-0 W
Inter Toronto 1-4 L 5-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Ottawa

LWDLWWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/06 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 1-3 5-3 70 W
06/06 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 0-2 1-2 34 L
31/05 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 0-1 2-2 94 D
24/05 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 2-1 43 W
17/05 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 1-0 1-0 15 W
06/05 Toronto FC
Canada Championships
 0-1 3-1 65 W
02/05 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-4 35 L
26/04 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-1 43 D
19/04 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-0 23 W
12/04 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
 0-2 1-3 44 L

Cavalry FC

WDDWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/06 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
 2-0 5-1 23 W
07/06 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 0-0 2-0 95 W
31/05 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-1 54 L
24/05 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 0-0 3-0 52 W
18/05 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 2-0 36 W
10/05 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Championships
 1-0 3-1 44 W
03/05 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-0 38 W
25/04 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
 1-1 1-1 136 D
18/04 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-0 35 D
12/04 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
 2-0 3-1 34 W