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Football · Canada Premier League · 06/07, 00:00

Pacific FC (CA) vs HFX Wanderers

Expected goals: 2.98 (Pacific FC (CA) 1.38 · HFX Wanderers 1.6). The model gives 32% home, 27% draw, 41% away. Over 2.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

41%2
32% 27% 41%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pacific FC (CA) 1397 · HFX Wanderers 1450
Pacific FC (CA)DrawHFX Wanderers
Our model32%26%42%
Market31%28%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.98Pacific FC (CA) 1.38 · HFX Wanderers 1.6
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HFX Wanderers (rating 1397 vs 1450).
  • H2H favours HFX Wanderers: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pacific FC (CA)HFX Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.31.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.12 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.34 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 1–2–3 HFX Wanderers

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/06/26
Canada Premier League
HFX Wanderers5-2
HT 2-1
Pacific FC (CA)
18/04/26
Canada Premier League
HFX Wanderers2-2
HT 0-1
Pacific FC (CA)
20/09/25
Canada Premier League
HFX Wanderers3-0
HT 0-0
Pacific FC (CA)
17/08/25
Canada Premier League
Pacific FC (CA)2-2
HT 2-2
HFX Wanderers
13/07/25
Canada Premier League
Pacific FC (CA)3-2
HT 2-2
HFX Wanderers
19/04/25
Canada Premier League
HFX Wanderers3-1
HT 1-0
Pacific FC (CA)

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Forge FC 10811 15425
2 Cavalry FC 10721 19523
3 Atletico Ottawa 10424 151814
4 HFX Wanderers 11335 141612
5 Inter Toronto 9333 131712
6 Supra du Quebec 9324 131411
7 Vancouver FC 10325 91111
8 Pacific FC (CA) 11038 12253

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPacific FC (CA)HFX Wanderers
Vancouver FC 1-2 L 1-0 W
Supra du Quebec 1-1 D 1-2 L
Atletico Ottawa 2-2 D 0-1 L
Cavalry FC 0-3 L 0-2 L
Inter Toronto 0-1 L 1-1 D
Forge FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HFX Wanderers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pacific FC (CA)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 1-2 2-5 42 L
15/06 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 1-0 1-2 12 L
07/06 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 1-0 1-1 –– D
31/05 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
 1-0 2-2 24 D
24/05 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-3 42 L
17/05 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-1 37 L
10/05 Cavalry FC
Canada Championships
 0-1 1-3 24 L
04/05 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 0-1 1-3 63 L
27/04 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-1 –– L
18/04 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 1-0 2-2 –– D

HFX Wanderers

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 2-1 5-2 102 W
11/06 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-1 45 L
07/06 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-2 15 L
30/05 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-0 –– W
23/05 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
 1-1 1-1 54 D
17/05 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
 0-1 0-1 55 L
09/05 Forge FC
Canada Championships
 0-2 0-4 62 L
02/05 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-1 1-3 64 L
25/04 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 1-1 1-2 55 L
18/04 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 0-1 2-2 –– D