⚽ Football · Canada Premier League · 26/06, 23:30
HFX Wanderers vs Pacific FC (CA)
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HFX Wanderers 1452 · Pacific FC (CA) 1411
| HFX Wanderers | Draw | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.92HFX Wanderers 1.78 · Pacific FC (CA) 1.14
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 57%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HFX Wanderers (rating 1452 vs 1411).
- H2H favours HFX Wanderers: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HFX Wanderers | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · HFX Wanderers 2–3–1 Pacific FC (CA)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 20/09/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 17/08/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 2-2 HT 2-2 | HFX Wanderers |
| 13/07/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | HFX Wanderers |
| 19/04/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 19/09/24 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
HFX Wanderers
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Forge FC Canada Championships |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Pacific FC (CA)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Championships |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |