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Football · Canada Premier League · 05/07, 00:00

Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto

Expected goals: 2.6 (Vancouver FC 1.38 · Inter Toronto 1.22). The model gives 40% home, 28% draw, 32% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

40%1
40% 28% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vancouver FC 1485 · Inter Toronto 1473
Vancouver FCDrawInter Toronto
Our model40%29%32%
Market40%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.6Vancouver FC 1.38 · Inter Toronto 1.22
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Inter Toronto: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vancouver FCInter Toronto
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 11.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 7.41.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver FC 1–0–5 Inter Toronto

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto1-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
22/09/25
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC2-1
HT 2-1
Inter Toronto
19/07/25
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto4-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
25/05/25
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto1-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
07/04/25
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC0-2
HT 0-0
Inter Toronto
07/09/24
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC0-1
HT 0-1
Inter Toronto

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Forge FC 10811 15425
2 Cavalry FC 10721 19523
3 Atletico Ottawa 10424 151814
4 HFX Wanderers 11335 141612
5 Inter Toronto 9333 131712
6 Supra du Quebec 9324 131411
7 Vancouver FC 10325 91111
8 Pacific FC (CA) 11038 12253

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVancouver FCInter Toronto
Pacific FC (CA) 2-1 W 1-0 W
Atletico Ottawa 2-1 W 4-1 W
HFX Wanderers 0-1 L 1-1 D
Supra du Quebec 1-1 D 1-3 L
Cavalry FC 0-2 L 1-5 L
Forge FC 0-1 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vancouver FC

LLDWWLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/06 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 0-1 2-1 102 W
06/06 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
 2-0 2-1 64 W
30/05 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-1 –– L
24/05 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-1 94 D
18/05 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-2 66 L
11/05 Langley United Sa
Canada Championships
 0-0 2-0 75 W
04/05 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 1-0 3-1 53 W
26/04 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-1 83 D
19/04 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
 0-1 0-1 105 L
13/04 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-0 0-1 64 L

Inter Toronto

DWDWLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/06 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
 0-2 1-5 23 L
07/06 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
 0-2 1-4 23 L
30/05 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-3 43 L
23/05 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 1-1 1-1 54 D
17/05 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
 0-0 1-0 47 W
10/05 CS Saint-Laurent
Canada Championships
 0-1 0-1 96 L
02/05 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
 0-0 4-1 35 W
25/04 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
 1-1 1-1 46 D
19/04 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
 1-0 1-0 05 W
11/04 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
 1-0 2-2 14 D