⚽ Football · Brazil Serie B · 28/06, 23:30
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
43%2
Pick: 2 · 43%
Under 2.5 · 62%
Both to score No
Score: 0-1
💎 +19.9%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 2.2 (Fortaleza 0.95 · Sport Recife 1.25). The model gives 28% home, 29% draw, 43% away. Recommendation: Sport Recife (43%, baja confidence). Under 2.5 goals (62%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 0-1. 💎 Value spotted on Sport Recife: +19.9% over the odds (4).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Sport Recife: the model gives +19.9% over odds 4.
- H2H favours Fortaleza: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 1.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 4–1–1 Sport Recife
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 | Sport Recife | 0-2 | Fortaleza |
| 21/05/26 | Fortaleza | 1-2 | Sport Recife |
| 30/04/26 | Fortaleza | 2-0 | Sport Recife |
| 27/09/25 | Fortaleza | 1-0 | Sport Recife |
| 27/04/25 | Sport Recife | 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| 05/02/25 | Sport Recife | 0-2 | Fortaleza |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Fortaleza
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | CRB | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/06 | America MG | 0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Nautico | 1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Vitoria | 1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Vitoria | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Athletic Club MG | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Sport Recife | 1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Londrina | 1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Sport Recife | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Ceara | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Sport Recife
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Atletico GO | 1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Sao Bernardo SP | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 11/06 | Athletic Club MG | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Nautico | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fortaleza | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | EC Juventude | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Fortaleza | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | CRB | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Ponte Preta | 2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 07/05 | ASA | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |