Football · Brazil Serie B · 06/07, 00:00

Nautico vs EC Juventude

Expected goals: 2.31 (Nautico 1.18 · EC Juventude 1.13). The model gives 36% home, 31% draw, 33% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

36%1

36% 31% 33%

Model analysis

Expected goals2.31Nautico 1.18 · EC Juventude 1.13

Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 55%

BTTSYes · 51%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EC Juventude (rating 1495 vs 1542).
H2H favours EC Juventude: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nautico	EC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nautico 1–3–2 EC Juventude

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/20 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	1-0 HT 0-0	Nautico
22/08/20 Brazil Serie B	Nautico	3-3 HT 2-2	EC Juventude
22/09/19 Brazil Serie C	Nautico	6-4 HT 2-0	EC Juventude
15/09/19 Brazil Serie C	EC Juventude	2-1 HT 0-1	Nautico
24/10/17 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	0-0 HT 0-0	Nautico
12/07/17 Brazil Serie B	Nautico	1-1 HT 1-0	EC Juventude

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	15	8	4	3	23	17	28
2	Gremio Novorizontino	15	7	6	2	24	14	27
3	Criciuma	15	7	6	2	17	11	27
4	Sao Bernardo SP	15	7	4	4	20	12	25
5	Operario PR	15	7	4	4	19	17	25
6	Sport Recife	14	6	7	1	17	9	25
7	EC Juventude	14	6	4	4	14	8	22
8	Fortaleza	14	6	4	4	16	15	22
9	Nautico	14	6	2	6	21	18	20
10	Cuiaba	15	4	8	3	11	9	20
11	Athletic Club MG	14	4	7	3	15	15	19
12	Goias	14	5	3	6	13	21	18
13	Atletico GO	14	4	6	4	16	16	18
14	Ceara	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
15	Botafogo SP	14	4	4	6	14	13	16
16	CRB	14	4	4	6	23	24	16
17	Londrina	15	4	3	8	19	24	15
18	Avai	14	3	4	7	15	20	13
19	Ponte Preta	14	2	2	10	10	27	8
20	America MG	15	1	3	11	10	26	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nautico	EC Juventude
Sport Recife	0-2 L	0-1 L
Operario PR	6-2 W	1-2 L
America MG	4-0 W	3-0 W
Athletic Club MG	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nautico (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nautico

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/06	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-4	3-4	10	4	L
15/06	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
10/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	8	L
31/05	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
23/05	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
16/05	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-1	6-2	5	5	W
10/05	America MG Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
02/05	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
28/04	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

EC Juventude

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
21/06	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
14/06	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
06/06	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
30/05	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
24/05	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
17/05	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
14/05	Sao Paulo Copa do Brasil	0-0	3-1	6	4	W
10/05	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
07/05	Tombense MG Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste	1-1	2-1	4	4	W