⚽ Football · Brazil Serie B · 28/06, 21:00
Athletic Club MG vs Avai
38%1
Pick: 2 · 38%
Over 2.5 · 55%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +15%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 2.9 (Athletic Club MG 1.45 · Avai 1.45). The model gives 38% home, 25% draw, 38% away. Recommendation: Avai (38%, baja confidence). Over 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on Avai: +15% over the odds (4.1).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Avai: the model gives +15% over odds 4.1.
- Estimate (2.9) is far from Bet365's line (2): possible value on Over 2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletic Club MG | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.1 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Club MG 1–0–1 Avai
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 | Avai | 2-1 | Athletic Club MG |
| 15/07/25 | Athletic Club MG | 4-0 | Avai |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Athletic Club MG
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Londrina | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Goias | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 11/06 | Sport Recife | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Botafogo SP | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | EC Juventude | 1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Internacional | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Cuiaba | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Vila Nova | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/04 | Nautico | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Avai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Cuiaba | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Londrina | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Ceara | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Chapecoense | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Chapecoense | 3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Criciuma | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Volta Redonda | 1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Goias | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Volta Redonda | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Vila Nova | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |