Football · Brazil Serie B · 04/07, 21:00

Criciuma vs Sport Recife

Expected goals: 2.02 (Criciuma 1.34 · Sport Recife 0.68). The model gives 51% home, 31% draw, 18% away. Under 2.25 goals (57%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

51%1

51% 31% 18%

Model analysis

Expected goals2.02Criciuma 1.34 · Sport Recife 0.68

Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 57%

BTTSNo · 53%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criciuma (rating 1558 vs 1514).
H2H favours Criciuma: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Criciuma	Sport Recife
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.7	1.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	5.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Criciuma 2–3–1 Sport Recife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/23 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	3-3 HT 2-1	Criciuma
25/05/23 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
03/08/22 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-1 HT 0-1	Criciuma
23/04/22 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-1 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
09/11/19 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma
11/08/19 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 0-0	Sport Recife

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	15	8	4	3	23	17	28
2	Gremio Novorizontino	15	7	6	2	24	14	27
3	Criciuma	15	7	6	2	17	11	27
4	Sao Bernardo SP	15	7	4	4	20	12	25
5	Operario PR	15	7	4	4	19	17	25
6	Sport Recife	14	6	7	1	17	9	25
7	EC Juventude	14	6	4	4	14	8	22
8	Fortaleza	14	6	4	4	16	15	22
9	Nautico	14	6	2	6	21	18	20
10	Cuiaba	15	4	8	3	11	9	20
11	Athletic Club MG	14	4	7	3	15	15	19
12	Goias	14	5	3	6	13	21	18
13	Atletico GO	14	4	6	4	16	16	18
14	Ceara	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
15	Botafogo SP	14	4	4	6	14	13	16
16	CRB	14	4	4	6	23	24	16
17	Londrina	15	4	3	8	19	24	15
18	Avai	14	3	4	7	15	20	13
19	Ponte Preta	14	2	2	10	10	27	8
20	America MG	15	1	3	11	10	26	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Criciuma	Sport Recife
Sao Bernardo SP	1-0 W	0-0 D
Atletico GO	1-1 D	1-1 D
EC Juventude	0-0 D	1-0 W
CRB	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Criciuma (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Criciuma

WDDDDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
24/06	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
16/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
06/06	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
30/05	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
25/05	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
17/05	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
10/05	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
02/05	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
27/04	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-1	9	2	W

Sport Recife

WLWWLWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
19/06	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
14/06	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
11/06	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	1	8	W
28/05	Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
24/05	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
21/05	Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
18/05	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
09/05	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-1	3-1	2	9	W