Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/07, 01:00

Goias vs Ceara

Expected goals: 2.17 (Goias 1.45 · Ceara 0.71). The model gives 54% home, 29% draw, 17% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.

54%1

54% 29% 17%

Model analysis

Expected goals2.17Goias 1.45 · Ceara 0.71

Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%

BTTSNo · 52%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goias (rating 1494 vs 1438).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Goias	Ceara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	1.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Goias 1–4–1 Ceara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/08/24 Brazil Serie B	Goias	2-1 HT 1-1	Ceara
20/04/24 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	1-1 HT 1-1	Goias
06/10/22 Brazil Serie A	Ceara	1-1 HT 0-0	Goias
12/06/22 Brazil Serie A	Goias	1-1 HT 0-1	Ceara
21/01/21 Brazil Serie A	Goias	0-4 HT 0-2	Ceara
27/09/20 Brazil Serie A	Ceara	2-2 HT 0-1	Goias

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	15	8	4	3	23	17	28
2	Gremio Novorizontino	15	7	6	2	24	14	27
3	Criciuma	15	7	6	2	17	11	27
4	Sao Bernardo SP	15	7	4	4	20	12	25
5	Operario PR	15	7	4	4	19	17	25
6	Sport Recife	14	6	7	1	17	9	25
7	EC Juventude	14	6	4	4	14	8	22
8	Fortaleza	14	6	4	4	16	15	22
9	Nautico	14	6	2	6	21	18	20
10	Cuiaba	15	4	8	3	11	9	20
11	Athletic Club MG	14	4	7	3	15	15	19
12	Goias	14	5	3	6	13	21	18
13	Atletico GO	14	4	6	4	16	16	18
14	Ceara	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
15	Botafogo SP	14	4	4	6	14	13	16
16	CRB	14	4	4	6	23	24	16
17	Londrina	15	4	3	8	19	24	15
18	Avai	14	3	4	7	15	20	13
19	Ponte Preta	14	2	2	10	10	27	8
20	America MG	15	1	3	11	10	26	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Goias	Ceara
Operario PR	0-3 L	1-2 L
Gremio Novorizontino	0-4 L	1-2 L
Atletico GO	1-1 D	0-1 L
Avai	2-0 W	2-1 W
Botafogo SP	1-0 W	0-1 L
Fortaleza	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Goias

LWLWWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/06	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-3	0-3	10	3	L
14/06	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
11/06	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-4	9	4	L
30/05	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
25/05	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
16/05	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
13/05	Cruzeiro Copa do Brasil	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
09/05	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
03/05	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-4	3	7	L

Ceara

LLLWLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
21/06	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
16/06	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
11/06	Avai Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-1	8	5	W
31/05	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	7	10	L
23/05	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
17/05	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	3	7	W
14/05	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	2-0	4-5	3	4	L
10/05	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
07/05	Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste	0-0	0-1	4	5	L