⚽ Football · Brazil Serie B · 01/07, 01:00
Botafogo SP vs CRB
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botafogo SP 1466 · CRB 1527
| Botafogo SP | Draw | CRB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.37Botafogo SP 1.17 · CRB 1.21
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 52%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1466 vs 1527).
- Early goals: 1.4 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Botafogo SP | CRB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.2 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo SP 2–2–2 CRB
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/25 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 27/05/25 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CRB |
| 25/09/24 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CRB |
| 18/07/24 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Botafogo SP |
| 05/08/23 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 29/04/23 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CRB |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Botafogo SP
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
CRB
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 01/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 4-2 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Fortaleza Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/04 | Sousa EC Brazil Copa Nordeste |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |