⚽ Football · Brazil Serie A U20 · 23/06, 20:00
Gremio U20 vs Bahia U20
57%2
Pick: 2 · 57%
Over 2.5 · 59%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +18.8%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.05 (Gremio U20 1.1 · Bahia U20 1.95). The model gives 21% home, 22% draw, 57% away. Recommendation: Bahia U20 (57%, media confidence). Over 2.5 goals (59%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on Bahia U20: +18.8% over the odds (2.35).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Bahia U20: the model gives +18.8% over odds 2.35.
- H2H favours Gremio U20: 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio U20 | Bahia U20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 2.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio U20 5–1–0 Bahia U20
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/25 | Bahia U20 | 1-2 | Gremio U20 |
| 14/08/24 | Bahia U20 | 0-2 | Gremio U20 |
| 09/10/23 | Bahia U20 | 2-3 | Gremio U20 |
| 01/10/23 | Gremio U20 | 3-2 | Bahia U20 |
| 04/05/23 | Bahia U20 | 2-3 | Gremio U20 |
| 08/08/21 | Bahia U20 | 2-2 | Gremio U20 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Gremio U20
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Fortaleza U20 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Internacional U20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 10/06 | Fluminense U20 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Novo Hamburgo RS U20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Novo Hamburgo RS U20 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Cuiaba U20 | 0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | SC Ivoti U20 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Bragantino U20 | 3-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Avai U20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Bahia U20
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Santos U20 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Juazeirense U20 | 5-0 | 7-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | EC Juventude U20 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | SSA FC U20 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Criciuma U20 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Fortaleza U20 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Atletico Paranaense U20 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | America MG U20 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Feirense U20 | 1-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |