⚽ Football · Brazil Serie A U20 · 23/06, 20:00
Sao Paulo U20 vs Fortaleza U20
44%1
Pick: 1 · 44%
Over 2.5 · 53%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +11.7%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 2.8 (Sao Paulo U20 1.55 · Fortaleza U20 1.25). The model gives 44% home, 25% draw, 31% away. Recommendation: Sao Paulo U20 (44%, baja confidence). Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on Fortaleza U20: +11.7% over the odds (4.75).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Fortaleza U20: the model gives +11.7% over odds 4.75.
- Early goals: 1.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Paulo U20 | Fortaleza U20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.2 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 6.1 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Paulo U20 2–2–2 Fortaleza U20
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 | Sao Paulo U20 | 0-1 | Fortaleza U20 |
| 12/11/25 | Fortaleza U20 | 0-2 | Sao Paulo U20 |
| 02/04/25 | Fortaleza U20 | 1-1 | Sao Paulo U20 |
| 14/08/24 | Sao Paulo U20 | 1-1 | Fortaleza U20 |
| 13/04/23 | Sao Paulo U20 | 0-1 | Fortaleza U20 |
| 16/07/22 | Fortaleza U20 | 0-1 | Sao Paulo U20 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sao Paulo U20
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Flamengo U20 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | EC Juventude U20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Bandeirante U20 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Bragantino U20 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 05/06 | Santo Andre U20 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Vitoria BA U20 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Criciuma U20 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | America MG U20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Cruzeiro U20 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 06/05 | Bahia U20 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Fortaleza U20
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Gremio U20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | Avai U20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/06 | Cruzeiro U20 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 27/05 | Palmeiras U20 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 21/05 | Bahia U20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Santos U20 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 13/05 | Criciuma U20 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Anjos do Ceu FC U20 | 4-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Bragantino U20 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | EC Juventude U20 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |