⚽ Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 01/07, 22:00
Club Atletico Libertad vs Leones FC
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Atletico Libertad 1457 · Leones FC 1495
| Club Atletico Libertad | Draw | Leones FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.29Club Atletico Libertad 1.2 · Leones FC 1.09
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atletico Libertad | Leones FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico Libertad 0–1–0 Leones FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Leones FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Club Atletico Libertad |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Club Atletico Libertad
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Leones FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Huaquillas FC Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |