⚽ Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 01/07, 22:00
Delfin SC vs Emelec
34%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Delfin SC 1461 · Emelec 1513
| Delfin SC | Draw | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 34% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.99Delfin SC 1 · Emelec 0.98
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emelec (rating 1461 vs 1513).
- Low estimate: 1.99 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Emelec: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Delfin SC | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Delfin SC 1–2–3 Emelec
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Delfin SC |
| 01/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
| 27/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Delfin SC |
| 21/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Emelec | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Delfin SC |
| 22/02/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
| 25/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Emelec |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Delfin SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Banos Ciudad de Fuego Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Emelec
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Daquilema FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |