⚽ Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 01/07, 22:00
Macara vs LDU Quito
37%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macara 1508 · LDU Quito 1520
| Macara | Draw | LDU Quito | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.01Macara 1.15 · LDU Quito 0.86
Most likely total2 goals
💎 ValueMacara or draw · @1.85Safer option: double chance at 1.85 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours LDU Quito: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macara | LDU Quito | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.5 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Macara 1–1–4 LDU Quito
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Macara |
| 30/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Macara |
| 10/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 0-1 HT 0-1 | LDU Quito |
| 04/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 0-4 HT 0-3 | LDU Quito |
| 05/03/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Macara |
| 22/10/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 0-5 HT 0-2 | LDU Quito |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Macara
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 07/05 | CA Tigre Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
LDU Quito
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |