⚽ Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 01/07, 22:00
Barcelona Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barcelona Guayaquil 1509 · Deportivo Cuenca 1501
| Barcelona Guayaquil | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 63% | 24% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.41Barcelona Guayaquil 1.42 · Deportivo Cuenca 1
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Barcelona Guayaquil: 3-1-2.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barcelona Guayaquil | Deportivo Cuenca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona Guayaquil 3–1–2 Deportivo Cuenca
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 21/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 24/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 22/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 07/04/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 25/09/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Barcelona Guayaquil
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Insutec Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Boca Juniors Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 03/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Deportivo Cuenca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | CD La Union Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Copa Sudamericana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | San Lorenzo Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Deportivo Recoleta Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |