Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 30/06, 11:30
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.88 (Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1.21 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1.66). The model gives 27% home, 26% draw, 47% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1452 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1533
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Draw | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1.21 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1.66
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane Olympic FC (W) (rating 1452 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Brisbane Olympic FC (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1–2–3 Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 27/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 28/07/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 26/05/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 16/03/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 27/08/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 41 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 23 |
| 7 | FQ QAS Women | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 55 | 19 |
| 8 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | 17 |
| 9 | Capalaba (W) | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 41 | 16 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 62 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Brisbane City (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| FQ QAS Women | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Souths United NPL (W) | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Lions FC (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Capalaba (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Olympic FC (W) (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 31/03 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |