⚽ Football · Finland Ykkonen · 25/06, 18:00
FC Jazz vs Tampere Utd
48%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Jazz 1502 · Tampere Utd 1603
| FC Jazz | Draw | Tampere Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 25% | 24% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.32FC Jazz 1.5 · Tampere Utd 1.81
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 65%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1502 vs 1603).
- High estimate: 3.32 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Tampere Utd: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Jazz | Tampere Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 4.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Jazz 1–1–4 Tampere Utd
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | Tampere Utd | 4-0 HT 3-0 | FC Jazz |
| 25/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Tampere Utd | 4-1 HT 2-0 | FC Jazz |
| 06/08/25 Finland Ykkonen | Tampere Utd | 4-2 HT 2-0 | FC Jazz |
| 23/05/25 Finland Ykkonen | FC Jazz | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Tampere Utd |
| 16/02/25 Europe Friendlies | Tampere Utd | 3-2 HT 2-0 | FC Jazz |
| 17/03/24 Europe Friendlies | Tampere Utd | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Jazz |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FC Jazz
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 28/05 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/04 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-5 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
Tampere Utd
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | EBK Finland Cup |
1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Narpes Kraft Finland Cup |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |