Football · Finland Ykkonen · 27/06, 21:15
RoPS vs SalPa
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RoPS 1523 · SalPa 1503
| RoPS | Draw | SalPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.45RoPS 2.12 · SalPa 1.33
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.45 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RoPS | SalPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.8 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPS 0–1–0 SalPa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | SalPa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | RoPS |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RoPS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | HJK Helsinki Finland Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | FC Ylivieska Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
SalPa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | TPS Finland Cup |
0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |