Football · Finland Ykkonen · 28/06, 17:30
OLS vs KUPS Akatemia
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OLS 1531 · KUPS Akatemia 1449
| OLS | Draw | KUPS Akatemia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Market | 63% | 19% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.75OLS 2.47 · KUPS Akatemia 1.29
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OLS (rating 1531 vs 1449).
- High estimate: 3.75 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours OLS: 6-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OLS | KUPS Akatemia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 6–0–0 KUPS Akatemia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | KUPS Akatemia | 2-4 HT 0-4 | OLS |
| 13/09/25 Finland Ykkonen | OLS | 4-2 HT 3-2 | KUPS Akatemia |
| 06/08/25 Finland Ykkonen | OLS | 5-0 HT 1-0 | KUPS Akatemia |
| 24/05/25 Finland Ykkonen | KUPS Akatemia | 1-3 HT 1-1 | OLS |
| 05/08/24 Finland Ykkonen | OLS | 3-2 HT 1-1 | KUPS Akatemia |
| 23/05/24 Finland Ykkonen | KUPS Akatemia | 1-3 HT 0-2 | OLS |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OLS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | SJK II Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
KUPS Akatemia
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Honka Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/04 | Huima/Urho Finland Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |